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  • Michigan State University Extension
  • Michigan State University Ag Bio Research
  • Project GREEEN

Elbridge / Hart Weather and Disease Daily Summary (Report issued 4/23/2024 22:06 )

Wetting periods start with rainfall (at least 0.01 inch) and continue until the start of at least eight hours without moisture (rainfall, leaf wetness, high relative humidity). Wetting periods are classified as "ongoing" until eight consecutive dry hours have passed. After that, the official end of the wetting period is recorded (the start of the 8 hour dry period).

McIntosh Green Tip for Elbridge / Hart estimated as 3/14/2024 (110 DD Base 42 after 1/1).
Expansion of first bract leaves in cherry (beginning of risk period) for Elbridge / Hart estimated as 4/17/2024 (320 DD Base 42 after 1/1).
Black rot model available after 4/15. Pre-bloom not reached. Using 5/1/2024 as a default date.
Time period assessed for wetting events: 4/9 to 4/23/2024
Rainfall data missing for: 4/27 - 4/29

* Estimated values are highlighted in BOLD

Day Date Min Temp (°F) Max Temp (°F) Avg temp (°F) Rainfall (in) Rainfall since 1/1 M D Number of Events Wetting
Event(s)-
Duration
(hours)
T AS CLS BLKR Notes: Spray timing, scouting results, growth stage, site observations, etc.
Tue 4/9 39.5 60.6 50 0 6.9 6% 1% 0 -- -- -- -- --
Wed 4/10 37.8 65.4 51.6 0 6.9 8% 1% 0 -- -- -- -- --
Thu 4/11 43.3 53.5 48.4 0.25 7.15 10% 2% 1 4/11 9-10AM to 4/12 Noon-1PM
Wet: 27
Span: 28
45.6 Moderate (Symptoms appear: 4/29) No risk until first bract leaves have expanded. No risk until pre-bloom period
Fri 4/12 41.7 56.2 49 0.18 7.33 12% 2% 1 continuing continuing continuing continuing continuing
Sat 4/13 38.4 57.7 48.1 0 7.33 13% 3% 0 -- -- -- -- --
Sun 4/14 48.6 71.7 60.2 0 7.33 17% 4% 0 -- -- -- -- --
Mon 4/15 40 65.1 52.5 0 7.33 20% 5% 0 -- -- -- -- --
Tue 4/16 39.5 69.8 54.6 0 7.33 24% 7% 0 -- -- -- -- --
Wed 4/17 46.4 62 54.2 0.43 7.76 28% 9% 1 4/17 Midnight-1AM to 4/18 7-8AM
Wet: 23
Span: 32
49.9 Moderate (Symptoms appear: 5/5) Low No risk until pre-bloom period
Thu 4/18 41.1 52.6 46.8 0.12 7.88 31% 10% 1 4/18 7-8PM to 4/19 3-4AM
Wet: 9
Span: 9
44 None None No risk until pre-bloom period
Fri 4/19 36.9 48.3 42.6 0.01 7.89 33% 11% 0 -- -- -- -- --
Sat 4/20 34.8 41.5 38.1 0 7.89 34% 12% 0 -- -- -- -- --
Sun 4/21 29.7 51.6 40.6 0 7.89 36% 13% 0 -- -- -- -- --
Mon 4/22 30.5 61.2 45.8 0 7.89 39% 15% 0 -- -- -- -- --

Today's data:

Day Date Min Temp (°F) Max Temp (°F) Avg temp (°F) Rainfall (in) Rainfall since 1/1 M D Number of Events Wetting
Event(s)-
Duration
(hours)
T AS CLS BLKR Notes: Spray timing, scouting results, growth stage, site observations, etc.
Tue 4/23 Actual (9:55-10:00PM): 42.5 Actual (4:10-4:15PM): 62 52.25 0.13 8.02 44% 17% 2 4/23 1-2AM to 4/23 4-5AM
Wet: 4
Span: 4; 4/23 7-8PM to Ongoing. Last hour with moisture: 4/23 8-9PM
Wet: 2
Span: 2
46.7; 50.3 None None No risk until pre-bloom period

Forecast data:

Day Date Min Temp (°F) Max Temp (°F) Avg
temp
(°F)
Rainfall
(in)
Rainfall
since
1/1
M D
Wed 4/24 32 50 41 0.02 8.04 46% 18%
Thu 4/25 28 56 42 0 8.04 48% 20%
Fri 4/26 35 64 49.5 0.09 8.13 52% 22%
Sat 4/27 50 68 59 NA 8.13 58% 27%
Sun 4/28 54 67 60.5 NA 8.13 64% 31%
Mon 4/29 51 62 56.5 NA 8.13 69% 35%

Note: Infection periods and wetting events listed on the day of the start of the period/event.
T = Average temperature of wetting event
M = Percent of ascospores matured, based on Gadoury et al.
D = Percent of the matured spores that have discharged, based on unpublished model by Dr. Alan Jones.
AS = Apple Scab
CLS = Cherry Leaf Spot
BLKR = Grape Black Rot